SicTipovi
0x945b0b50e63846ee7c397d662f59975023778ca4
- Realised P&L
- $-551.52
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $127.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 2? · No | 0.790 | 0.998 | $127.59 | +$26.59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 19? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on July 1? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$950.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 4? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.69 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 18? · No | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$314.97 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$275.26 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ET · Down | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 3? · No | 0.866 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$350.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.77at 0.781Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?
- +$207.25at 0.711Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 27?
- +$141.11at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9AM ET
- +$132.68at 0.753Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 2?
- +$128.27at 0.705Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 09:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.79 | $101.00 |
| 09-16 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $235.00 |
| 09-11 14:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 11? | SELL | 0.52 | $246.18 |
| 09-11 08:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.8899999985 | $400.00 |
| 09-10 12:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.84 | $356.85 |
| 09-10 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 10? | SELL | 0.95 | $362.21 |
| 09-10 08:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.8499999997 | $324.08 |
| 09-10 06:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.92 | $300.00 |
| 09-09 19:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.96 | $160.00 |
| 09-09 19:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9099999987 | $239.00 |
| 09-08 06:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-07 13:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $176.97 |
| 09-06 16:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.9 | $160.00 |
| 09-04 09:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.7799999991 | $126.49 |