0x945ae83f538e979f00b7eb619105da268000a4f0
0x945ae83f538e979f00b7eb619105da268000a4f0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $80.4k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $1.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.022 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Unics Kazan vs. Dynamo Vladivostok · Dynamo Vladivostok | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Tomas Etcheverry | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| China Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur Gea · Zhizhen Zhang | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.05at 0.238XRP Up or Down - July 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$53.21at 0.171Solana Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$51.68at 0.152Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$45.39at 0.270Solana Up or Down - August 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
- +$44.79at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:49 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:48 | China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:47 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.001 | $0.32 |
| 10-01 05:47 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.001 | $1.68 |
| 10-01 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.1728677111 | $3.97 |
| 10-01 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:01 | Will Maldives win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:58 | China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.019 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 04:58 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:03 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |