sagarvadalia
0x945a89e562de7a91c64617a61634ed0b1412a881
- Realised P&L
- $-14.8k
- Volume
- $429.2k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $724.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.677Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$1.6kat 0.785Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$1.2kat 0.716Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
- +$951.55at 0.864Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5
- +$828.23at 0.879Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 22:02 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $126.45 |
| 09-30 06:57 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 03:08 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 03:06 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 03:06 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 03:04 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.7493940094 | $97.32 |
| 09-30 02:57 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:29 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 17:27 | Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 18:35 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 18:34 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 18:31 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 12:50 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 03:08 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 22:02 | England vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |