Sapirzdfb
0x9453e6f5805506ce6917eb28d2b83114f64180f9
- Realised P&L
- $-41.10
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $236.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) · Nets | 0.500 | 0.495 | $236.61 | −$2.39 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage · GenOne | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.90 |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles · Eagles | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.45 |
| Will US Catanzaro 1929 win on 2026-05-12? · No | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.82 |
| Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-12? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.25 |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.502 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.13 |
| Valorant: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs · FURIA Esports | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$444.73at 0.500Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$444.69at 0.500Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$435.75at 0.500Will Gregor Novak win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
- +$404.24at 0.500Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$388.44at 0.500Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 07:34 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $523.95 |
| 11-02 07:34 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 11-02 07:33 | Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $239.00 |
| 10-30 03:29 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $226.03 |
| 10-30 03:29 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $72.15 |
| 10-30 03:28 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $678.06 |
| 10-30 03:28 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 10-30 03:28 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $905.00 |
| 10-30 03:27 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $899.10 |
| 10-30 03:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999012 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 03:27 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $335.00 |
| 10-30 03:26 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $223.30 |
| 10-30 03:26 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $565.00 |
| 10-30 03:26 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $669.91 |
| 10-30 03:26 | Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.997 | $22.77 |