mountaindewd
0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
- Realised P&L
- $114.1k
- Volume
- $3.89M
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $121.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.2kat 0.592Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$14.7kat 0.747Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.0kat 0.481Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$6.8kat 0.755Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$6.4kat 0.350Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.3k |
| 09-17 10:49 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $278.17 |
| 09-17 09:42 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $26.72 |
| 09-17 09:38 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 12:16 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 09-15 14:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.54 | $2.1k |
| 09-14 14:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.85 | $3.5k |
| 09-14 12:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $521.09 |
| 09-14 00:06 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.507 | $101.29 |
| 09-13 22:37 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.889933255 | $2.0k |
| 09-13 22:22 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $478.50 |
| 09-13 22:21 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $478.50 |
| 09-13 22:20 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.87 | $478.50 |
| 09-13 22:02 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-13 21:59 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.6k |