mountaindewd
0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94
- Realised P&L
- $174.0k
- Volume
- $5.16M
- Markets traded
- 771
- Open portfolio
- $93.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded771
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.2kat 0.412Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$24.2kat 0.592Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$18.5kat 0.764Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$14.7kat 0.747Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$7.0kat 0.481Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:47 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 11-01 01:57 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 09:08 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.3k |
| 10-30 09:08 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 10-28 06:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.56 | $8.4k |
| 10-28 05:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.3k |
| 10-28 05:20 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4704597871 | $17.5k |
| 10-28 05:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.48 | $480.00 |
| 10-28 04:41 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4808809127 | $288.72 |
| 10-27 23:32 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.06 | $105.73 |
| 10-27 23:23 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.5k |
| 10-27 23:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.0k |
| 10-27 23:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.0k |
| 10-27 23:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.6 | $749.88 |
| 10-27 23:01 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.2628312247 | $4.9k |