Cali009
0x944d874b311d65f6d5ed0c74dba6d723bcd5e926
- Realised P&L
- $-737.17
- Volume
- $32.5k
- Markets traded
- 578
- Open portfolio
- $62.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded578
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)? · No | 0.853 | 0.750 | $62.16 | −$8.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of September 7 above $330? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.93at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$153.22at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$139.96at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2PM ET
- +$139.42at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
- +$138.13at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:24 | Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 10)? | BUY | 0.8526187606 | $70.67 |
| 08-31 06:17 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 8)? | BUY | 0.7499999902 | $57.65 |
| 08-26 14:32 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 24 above $350? | BUY | 0.94 | $54.98 |
| 08-10 18:37 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of August 10 above $365? | BUY | 0.8299999991 | $45.72 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.222962963 | $7.53 |
| 08-02 17:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:36 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2322580171 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.89 |
| 08-01 19:47 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 05:51 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.7827196351 | $16.30 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $31.87 |
| 07-24 19:31 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $37.09 |
| 07-24 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $35.27 |
| 07-23 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |