0x7a6a1abd
0x9444f70843d953383f1e99b0e622378b067148fb
- Realised P&L
- $-177.66
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.35at 0.933Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$8.29at 0.943Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in second-place on Big Brother season 28?
- +$5.06at 0.546Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?
- +$0.22at 0.889Will Barrett Pfeiffer come in third-place on Big Brother season 28?
- +$-0.04at 0.913Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 19:05 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $28.00 |
| 09-19 18:59 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3711509739 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 18:57 | Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3713205212 | $19.38 |
| 09-19 13:00 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.49 |
| 09-19 08:39 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.2274144779 | $19.75 |
| 09-19 08:39 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.1897728237 | $15.12 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.0919999941 | $1.32 |
| 09-19 06:11 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.8128019746 | $52.29 |
| 09-19 05:55 | Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | BUY | 0.817385478 | $93.79 |
| 09-18 21:32 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? | BUY | 0.203999993 | $1.05 |
| 09-18 21:32 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? | BUY | 0.2029999962 | $1.89 |
| 09-18 21:31 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Gonzalo? | BUY | 0.2029999951 | $7.77 |
| 09-18 19:57 | Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5869999951 | $18.60 |
| 09-18 18:15 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-18 17:59 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.83 |