0x9442c85f024f357c5718f42bae76dcdb82ebadcd
0x9442c85f024f357c5718f42bae76dcdb82ebadcd
- Realised P&L
- $-9.16
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.23at 0.147Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
- +$12.93at 0.211Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?
- +$11.92at 0.084Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?
- +$11.20at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?
- +$9.11at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.35 |
| 07-11 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 07-10 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.041 | $0.82 |
| 07-09 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 07-08 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.95 |
| 07-06 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 07-06 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.80148 | $13.63 |
| 07-06 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.13 |
| 07-05 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.36 |
| 07-05 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 07-04 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 07-02 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.0097106576 | $0.21 |
| 07-02 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2? | SELL | 0.868 | $8.68 |
| 07-01 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1? | SELL | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 06-29 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |