PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DaMonkeyHope

0x943ceb686511fe7aaca6a863b00493e088da1d17

Realised P&L
$-25.0k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.4850.380$1.9k$515.42
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.6220.765$1.4k+$269.56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.4900.585$589.59+$95.59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5000.745$74.50+$24.50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.3300.065$37.66$153.55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.3500.895$14.32+$8.72
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8800.989$9.89+$1.09
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? · No0.6740.000$0.00$2.2k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$500.00
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22? · No0.2700.000$0.00$513.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$81.20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$66.99
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.6540.000$0.00$9.1k
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$300.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 21:27Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$81.00
07-22 21:26Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$270.00
07-22 21:25Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$162.00
07-19 23:29Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.029$20.19
07-19 23:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$21.44
07-19 08:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5099999541$4.00
07-16 14:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5809999565$12.47
07-16 00:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.579$42.27
07-15 10:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.69$689.99
07-15 01:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.811$9.0k
07-15 01:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8109999996$10.00
07-14 23:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8069999539$1.91
07-14 18:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.827$1.7k
07-14 18:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.826$3.9k
07-13 20:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.828$85.74
Trader DaMonkeyHope · PolyBot