PolyBot

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Traders

DaMonkeyHope

0x943ceb686511fe7aaca6a863b00493e088da1d17

Realised P&L
$-26.6k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.6220.790$1.5k+$316.66
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.4660.145$693.16$1.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.4900.175$176.37$317.63
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5000.855$85.50+$35.50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.3500.935$14.96+$9.36
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.3300.020$11.59$179.63
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8800.980$9.79+$0.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? · No0.6740.000$0.00$2.2k
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$499.99
Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22? · No0.2700.000$0.00$513.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$81.19
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$66.99
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.6540.000$0.00$9.1k
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$300.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 21:27Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$81.00
07-22 21:26Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$270.00
07-22 21:25Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22?BUY0.27$162.00
07-19 23:29Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.029$20.19
07-19 23:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$21.44
07-19 08:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5099999541$4.00
07-16 14:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5809999565$12.47
07-16 00:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.579$42.27
07-15 10:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.69$689.99
07-15 01:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.811$9.0k
07-15 01:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8109999996$10.00
07-14 23:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8069999539$1.91
07-14 18:58Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.827$1.7k
07-14 18:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.826$3.9k
07-13 20:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.828$85.74