DaMonkeyHope
0x943ceb686511fe7aaca6a863b00493e088da1d17
- Realised P&L
- $-25.0k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.664US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$6.2kat 0.751Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.9kat 0.552Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$1.9kat 0.566Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.663Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 21:27 | Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 07-22 21:26 | Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 07-22 21:25 | Will Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.27 | $162.00 |
| 07-19 23:29 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.029 | $20.19 |
| 07-19 23:28 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.44 |
| 07-19 08:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5099999541 | $4.00 |
| 07-16 14:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5809999565 | $12.47 |
| 07-16 00:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.579 | $42.27 |
| 07-15 10:47 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.69 | $689.99 |
| 07-15 01:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.811 | $9.0k |
| 07-15 01:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8109999996 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 23:24 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8069999539 | $1.91 |
| 07-14 18:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.827 | $1.7k |
| 07-14 18:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.826 | $3.9k |
| 07-13 20:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.828 | $85.74 |