PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

coldwarrior

0x94382f71e766375d334a745882fa062682608fdd

Realised P&L
$-29.27
Volume
$593.81
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$7.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.7790.839$5.38+$0.38
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes0.2200.265$1.20+$0.20
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? · Yes0.0060.007$1.06+$0.06
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 14:08Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.19$0.42
09-13 13:31Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.74$0.15
09-13 13:15Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-13 13:13Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.99$1.51
09-13 13:10Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-13 13:08Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-12 14:56Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SELL0.57$1.03
09-12 14:37Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-12 14:32Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-12 14:13Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-11 17:06Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?BUY0.77$2.00
09-10 17:43Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?BUY0.0065932617$1.00
09-10 17:43Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.041$1.34
09-10 17:42Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.0052825385$0.28
09-10 17:41Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?BUY0.219999978$1.00