coldwarrior
0x94382f71e766375d334a745882fa062682608fdd
- Realised P&L
- $-29.27
- Volume
- $593.81
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $7.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.779 | 0.839 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.265 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.007 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.073Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$1.77at 0.321Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$1.01at 0.348England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
- +$0.50at 0.661Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$0.30at 0.701Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:08 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.42 |
| 09-13 13:31 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.15 |
| 09-13 13:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 13:13 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.51 |
| 09-13 13:10 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 13:08 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 14:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.03 |
| 09-12 14:37 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 14:32 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 14:13 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 17:06 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.0065932617 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:43 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.34 |
| 09-10 17:42 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.0052825385 | $0.28 |
| 09-10 17:41 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |