PolyBot

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Traders

tyty54

0x9435986a2589fea79b11b0fec3f5b585dc3f4934

Realised P&L
$-74.54
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
496
Open portfolio
$1.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded496
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18? · Yes0.0600.050$0.83$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18? · Yes0.1400.055$0.39$0.61
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 8PM ET · Up0.4330.000$0.00$9.64
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 6AM ET · Up0.9300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$3.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12PM ET · Down0.3740.000$0.00$5.39
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9PM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 12AM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 6AM ET · Down0.8400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12AM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00$2.00
XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1AM ET · Up0.9500.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 3PM ET · Down0.4510.000$0.00$10.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$1.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00$1.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11PM ET · Up0.9000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-17 21:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17?SELL0.5677$5.68
09-17 20:59Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17?SELL0.03$0.27
09-17 18:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-16 17:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?SELL0.03$0.27
09-16 12:12Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 16?SELL0.04$0.36
09-16 08:27Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-15 18:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.1$1.00
09-15 18:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-15 15:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 15?SELL0.45$3.15
09-15 14:50Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?SELL0.04$0.28
09-15 13:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 15?SELL0.04$0.02
09-15 13:15Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 15?SELL0.0495625$0.79
09-15 12:04Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 15?SELL0.05$0.03
09-15 12:04Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 15?SELL0.05$0.60