Zenjibar
0x942d293289c0de2b524f57ec24b8bbe81acb1c9c
- Realised P&L
- $184.25
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.140 | $942.96 | −$469.45 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.981 | $256.54 | +$6.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.61at 0.846Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$71.59at 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$4.64at 0.969Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- +$4.35at 0.920Iran leadership change by September 30?
- +$3.16at 0.790Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:02 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1972704564 | $900.00 |
| 10-26 06:17 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1997628815 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 16:16 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.1963422376 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 15:47 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.18 | $105.30 |
| 09-28 07:17 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2363086228 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 16:49 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $17.35 |
| 08-28 16:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $254.64 |
| 08-28 10:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $7.22 |
| 08-27 21:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $292.58 |
| 08-27 21:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $736.60 |
| 08-13 08:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 07:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $405.00 |
| 08-06 07:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $53.16 |
| 08-06 07:31 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $204.35 |
| 08-06 07:29 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.974 | $152.82 |