PolyBot

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Traders

david420

0x9416b0ca9df006a64def65021451caba9adf5a15

Realised P&L
$-25.2k
Volume
$3.49M
Markets traded
1,354
Open portfolio
$14.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,354
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · Yes0.5350.305$14.21$10.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$35.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$20.00
Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres Martin · Andres Martin0.7400.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$6.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? · No0.4680.000$0.00$544.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026? · No0.3000.000$0.00$107.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$107.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$88.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.1010.000$0.00$25.00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$213.30
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf · J.J. Wolf0.4000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00$30.88
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $390? · Yes0.3680.000$0.00$301.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 01:24SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.3943954333$4.94
09-12 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-12 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
09-12 01:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.489999992$25.00
08-01 16:20Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.699999983$28.88
07-25 01:05SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-25 01:05SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.5841583939$10.00
07-24 21:27Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres MartinBUY0.7399999896$10.00
07-24 19:30Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. WolfBUY0.4$10.00
07-24 19:30Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara BurelBUY0.5599999776$5.00
07-24 19:29Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-24 15:17Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.0186559906$7.00
07-24 14:21Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?BUY0.2999999743$7.00
07-24 14:19Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?BUY0.3001549169$100.00
07-21 14:25Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?BUY0.5799999987$88.17