calcjack
0x9411beaca55d98e92cb58774ac54f9a4397f8893
- Realised P&L
- $-183.29
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $12.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.095 | $12.01 | −$2.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.21 | −$0.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.06at 0.593Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 1?
- +$30.54at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3?
- +$1.26at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 2?
- +$1.25at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 3?
- +$-0.79at 0.008Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $8.41 |
| 10-03 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0054219459 | $0.78 |
| 10-03 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 10-03 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.85 |
| 10-03 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.53 |
| 10-03 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.0012456272 | $0.15 |
| 10-03 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.0298589744 | $1.16 |
| 10-03 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $11.31 |
| 10-03 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.0069100228 | $0.30 |
| 10-03 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.52 |
| 10-03 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.12 |
| 10-03 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.26 |
| 10-03 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.33 | $15.29 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.37 |
| 10-02 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.4652051836 | $71.08 |