0x9405828f5b63fa0bc6be05cfdc23856d926a9d5d
- Realised P&L
- $-70.45
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,052
- Open portfolio
- $9.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,052
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.92at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?
- +$12.64at 0.660Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.49at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 11?
- +$5.49at 0.327Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.14at 0.130Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:37 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.78 |
| 09-18 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-18 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-18 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.61 |
| 09-18 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 09-18 09:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.07 |
| 09-18 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-18 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.72 |
| 09-18 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.31 |
| 09-17 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.42 |
| 09-17 02:47 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.19 |
| 09-16 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |