0x9405828f5b63fa0bc6be05cfdc23856d926a9d5d
- Realised P&L
- $-46.83
- Volume
- $31.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,279
- Open portfolio
- $24.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,279
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.92at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?
- +$12.64at 0.660Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.28at 0.320Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.14at 0.130Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 28?
- +$4.79at 0.510Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.15 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.79 | $4.99 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.04 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 28? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.84 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.09200048 | $7.67 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.00274286 | $0.54 |
| 07-28 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.09 |
| 07-26 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-26 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 07-26 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-26 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |