BenMartinGva
0x93f1f736de2ef39b37f7a82d4b8b4574ea26755d
- Realised P&L
- $-342.18
- Volume
- $50.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $189.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.019 | $144.69 | −$228.87 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $38.60 | −$92.69 |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $5.78 | −$3.45 |
| Will Rennes finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.32at 0.200Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$83.32at 0.410Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$52.93at 0.190Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.180Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?
- +$41.45at 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-24 08:15 | Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.361 | $1.80 |
| 04-21 20:05 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.058 | $36.46 |
| 04-21 20:04 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.057 | $11.90 |
| 04-21 20:04 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.056 | $58.38 |
| 04-14 20:33 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.0726668 | $18.17 |
| 04-12 16:54 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.41 | $150.53 |
| 04-08 21:18 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.44 |
| 04-04 18:17 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $39.47 |
| 04-03 18:37 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $38.99 |
| 04-03 18:35 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 03-31 19:08 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.012 | $33.98 |
| 03-31 13:57 | Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $41.39 |
| 03-31 13:18 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $7.69 |
| 03-24 15:21 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 03-23 09:58 | Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |