0x93eaBa549cbb4DAa1f295a0BC79fc6E043DfDe35-1772298135233
0x93eaba549cbb4daa1f295a0bc79fc6e043dfde35
- Realised P&L
- $-176.03
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $341.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.00at 0.122Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$174.00at 0.287Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$55.00at 0.100Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$37.90at 0.600Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$21.00at 0.730Iran leadership change by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 09:44 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.037 | $0.37 |
| 08-10 13:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 13:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 07-14 07:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.0198 | $1.98 |
| 06-30 21:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 05-11 20:05 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 05-11 20:04 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.64 |
| 05-11 19:05 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0743333333 | $1.11 |
| 05-11 18:51 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 05-11 18:48 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 04-18 22:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 04-12 20:08 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 17:23 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.27 |
| 04-09 17:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 04-09 17:13 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.57 |