0x93e9ea409A99b9014cBAeAf05bc91b35ed7A1b70-1733728609771
0x93e9ea409a99b9014cbaeaf05bc91b35ed7a1b70
- Realised P&L
- $50.03
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $70.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $48.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $21.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.33at 0.540Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$0.59at 0.994Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
- +$0.49at 0.995Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$0.29at 0.995Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 11:09 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9967734444 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 06:45 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.00 |
| 10-13 10:04 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | BUY | 0.9953244384 | $44.20 |
| 10-12 08:11 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 10-09 10:42 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.997 | $54.10 |
| 10-07 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9949999829 | $21.00 |
| 10-06 04:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.00 |
| 10-01 21:53 | Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.00 |
| 09-30 04:27 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999903 | $48.80 |
| 09-27 13:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9939999795 | $21.00 |
| 09-25 08:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.30 |
| 09-22 11:24 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 21:06 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $11.00 |
| 09-19 15:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.995 | $46.20 |
| 09-13 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.80 |