0x93e9b7185DDf184FD51d9d0Ecc4eaBDb1B8a5d21-1770529507231
0x93e9b7185ddf184fd51d9d0ecc4eabdb1b8a5d21
- Realised P&L
- $-127.81
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $9.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.53at 0.059Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$19.59at 0.485Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$17.00at 0.150Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
- +$15.84at 0.657Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?
- +$13.17at 0.410Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 17:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.63 | $90.93 |
| 08-21 17:31 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $10.84 |
| 07-04 18:03 | Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $4.74 |
| 06-28 18:43 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.12 | $28.97 |
| 06-19 19:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1179999906 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 21:56 | Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $25.73 |
| 05-24 20:44 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 18:55 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 18:54 | Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5822368292 | $15.00 |
| 05-23 18:11 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.0923257536 | $8.73 |
| 05-20 00:26 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1149999952 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 21:09 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 20:56 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2161609479 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 09:49 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 05-14 16:47 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0660000002 | $20.00 |