PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sigmanova

0x93e67a98130eaf4ae21af5ed636747df84dedc5e

Realised P&L
$-18.33
Volume
$131.99
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$17.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11? · No0.9700.970$5.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12? · No0.9700.935$4.82−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11? · No0.9800.550$2.81−$2.19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11? · No0.9800.475$2.42−$2.58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12? · No0.9800.465$2.33−$2.58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · No0.9800.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 07:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-10 05:01Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?BUY0.98$4.90
10-09 10:09Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-09 06:45Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11?BUY0.98$5.00
10-09 05:10Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.98$5.00
10-08 12:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.98$19.60
10-08 12:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 10?BUY0.98$19.60
10-08 10:20Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 10?BUY0.9829999996$20.00
10-08 05:08Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.98$20.00
10-07 15:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 9?BUY0.9699999995$20.00
10-07 15:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 8?BUY0.998$5.09