sigmanova
0x93e67a98130eaf4ae21af5ed636747df84dedc5e
- Realised P&L
- $-18.33
- Volume
- $131.99
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $17.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11? · No | 0.970 | 0.970 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12? · No | 0.970 | 0.935 | $4.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11? · No | 0.980 | 0.550 | $2.81 | −$2.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11? · No | 0.980 | 0.475 | $2.42 | −$2.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12? · No | 0.980 | 0.465 | $2.33 | −$2.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? · No | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.59at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 9?
- +$0.38at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 10?
- +$0.38at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 10?
- +$0.33at 0.984Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 10?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-09 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 10-08 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 10-08 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9829999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 10-07 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.09 |