0x93e25bab3de95ce32990c24c13f0ec53c8a2197a
0x93e25bab3de95ce32990c24c13f0ec53c8a2197a
- Realised P&L
- $-48.31
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.026 | $1.36 | −$7.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.79at 0.565Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET
- +$9.54at 0.576Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 6PM ET
- +$5.86at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET
- +$5.19at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10AM ET
- +$4.26at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 01:56 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 02-06 01:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999966 | $8.00 |
| 02-05 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999533 | $7.00 |
| 02-05 14:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $6.72 |
| 02-05 13:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999853 | $8.00 |
| 02-05 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999716 | $7.00 |
| 02-05 12:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999821 | $12.00 |
| 02-05 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.37 | $3.63 |
| 02-05 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $1.77 |
| 02-05 01:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 02-05 01:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999958 | $6.00 |