Daniuniu
0x93de8cc77c62752f84438893f682a590054106d8
- Realised P&L
- $-31.06
- Volume
- $301.27
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.180 | $8.10 | −$8.90 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.10 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.54at 0.620US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$2.60at 0.690Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
- +$-1.00at 0.310Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 01:44 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 12:41 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $7.00 |
| 04-05 11:44 | Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 04-05 11:44 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 04-04 12:33 | SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 22:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $4.71 |
| 04-03 10:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 04-03 04:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-02 11:00 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 03-30 22:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 03-30 00:03 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |