Mansfieldyj
0x93d88feb48bb7edcc33fe1e64935243664aa4e8e
- Realised P&L
- $20.17
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $47.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs Arch (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · Arch | 0.490 | 0.500 | $30.00 | +$0.60 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Broncos | 0.620 | 0.615 | $17.22 | −$0.14 |
| Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.28 |
| Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.86at 0.500Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$30.48at 0.500Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$20.79at 0.500Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$19.88at 0.500Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$17.39at 0.500Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:35 | Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $17.36 |
| 09-05 06:45 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $23.20 |
| 08-21 09:13 | Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $14.96 |
| 08-11 09:23 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.992 | $61.50 |
| 08-11 09:23 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.43 |
| 08-11 09:23 | Counter-Strike: OldBoys vs Arch (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season | BUY | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 07-24 11:39 | Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | BUY | 0.43 | $11.18 |
| 07-07 08:37 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 06-12 08:34 | Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage | BUY | 0.51 | $11.22 |
| 06-10 06:10 | Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $25.97 |
| 06-10 06:09 | Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $26.00 |
| 05-25 11:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $27.00 |
| 05-13 06:07 | Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.23 | $8.28 |
| 05-13 06:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13? | BUY | 0.68 | $27.88 |
| 04-16 11:29 | Will AZ win on 2026-04-16? | BUY | 0.47 | $15.47 |