dadutu
0x93d205027e4be064a80fd00b1cd443710a2f49ce
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $146.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $853.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.357 | $178.50 | +$30.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.860 | $172.00 | +$40.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.755 | $151.00 | +$59.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.675 | $135.00 | +$55.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.653 | 0.805 | $120.75 | +$22.75 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.945 | $62.01 | +$3.61 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.170 | $34.00 | +$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$300.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$290.08at 0.650Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?
- +$198.00at 0.560Padres vs. Mets
- +$195.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$174.00at 0.420Mercury vs. Liberty
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 13:10 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 08-02 08:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 07-09 10:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.48 | $21.60 |
| 06-16 11:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $36.00 |
| 06-13 13:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.851 | $13.70 |
| 06-10 09:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 12:47 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $48.00 |
| 03-07 13:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.981 | $49.05 |
| 10-27 02:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 12:25 | Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.941 | $9.41 |
| 10-15 13:32 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-10 06:35 | Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 06:35 | Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 06:34 | Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 06:34 | Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |