0x93cc5B0C75B7564963540D8B6eC1db735EddAb10-1776592761969
0x93cc5b0c75b7564963540d8b6ec1db735eddab10
- Realised P&L
- $16.49
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $68.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? · Yes | 0.289 | 0.375 | $63.41 | +$14.51 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up | 0.900 | 1.000 | $5.56 | +$0.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? · No | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.61at 0.410US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$9.09at 0.220Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$-0.33at 0.039Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$-2.79at 0.340Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$-3.00at 0.050Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 08:09 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | BUY | 0.2914657513 | $18.90 |
| 08-06 08:07 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? | BUY | 0.2877393225 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 20:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-05 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999656 | $4.00 |
| 05-05 14:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.67 |
| 05-05 14:57 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 14:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.20 |
| 04-24 08:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 04-21 01:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1126481624 | $11.00 |
| 04-20 22:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999927 | $31.00 |