PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

paddapadda

0x93c27af1af72fd5bbce398abfb3790daeb8908e0

Realised P&L
$-319.38
Volume
$91.9k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.9360.856$1.2k$111.52
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4060.385$770.96$41.14
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3800.385$770.00+$10.00
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.9200.875$21.88$1.13
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2027? · No0.5540.770$19.25+$5.40
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.6200.500$10.00$2.40
Will Helena Proos be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? · No0.3200.035$6.90$57.10
Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.285$5.70+$3.90
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.7200.250$4.00$7.52
Will Christer Olsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Uppsala? · Yes0.0100.013$3.75+$0.75
Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0450.015$3.60$7.20
Will Daniel Montelongo win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? · Yes0.3320.044$1.76$11.54
Will Dan Rasmusson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? · Yes0.1500.044$0.89$2.11
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · No0.7700.036$0.73$14.67
Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm? · No0.1600.030$0.61$2.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 16:58Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?SELL0.84$16.80
09-22 16:58Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.74$14.80
09-21 21:47Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.839$24.33
09-20 09:01Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.882$26.46
09-19 16:07Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.907$8.16
09-19 15:44Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.908$45.40
09-17 21:07Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.66$13.20
09-17 19:17Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.963$9.63
09-17 18:57Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.7$35.00
09-17 18:50Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.9492$355.95
09-15 21:07Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6$300.00
09-13 16:34Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.41$123.00
09-01 15:11Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.5210429994$374.67
09-01 15:10Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.989$1.2k
09-01 15:08Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?BUY0.49$96.66