paddapadda
0x93c27af1af72fd5bbce398abfb3790daeb8908e0
- Realised P&L
- $-319.38
- Volume
- $91.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$468.00at 0.200Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$145.51at 0.530Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?
- +$84.37at 0.990Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$72.32at 0.800Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$50.22at 0.952Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:58 | Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | SELL | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-22 16:58 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-21 21:47 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.839 | $24.33 |
| 09-20 09:01 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.882 | $26.46 |
| 09-19 16:07 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.907 | $8.16 |
| 09-19 15:44 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.908 | $45.40 |
| 09-17 21:07 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 09-17 19:17 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.63 |
| 09-17 18:57 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.9492 | $355.95 |
| 09-15 21:07 | Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 09-13 16:34 | Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.41 | $123.00 |
| 09-01 15:11 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.5210429994 | $374.67 |
| 09-01 15:10 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.989 | $1.2k |
| 09-01 15:08 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.49 | $96.66 |