0x93ba81516578bDB1c216d717e66C6C5E67caD27C-1775256330890
0x93ba81516578bdb1c216d717e66c6c5e67cad27c
- Realised P&L
- $4.82
- Volume
- $269.01
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $35.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.945 | $15.37 | +$1.87 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.675 | $13.68 | −$1.32 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.915 | $2.32 | +$0.04 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.740 | $1.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.960 | $1.35 | +$0.10 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.490 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.03at 0.062Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.370Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.390Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$1.04at 0.490Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:19 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:42 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 11:41 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.29 |
| 07-28 16:13 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:51 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.8999996842 | $2.28 |
| 07-28 11:50 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.28 |
| 07-24 13:43 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 00:21 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 17:48 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 17:58 | Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8009993288 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 23:01 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 22:59 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 23:01 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 22:48 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.03 |
| 07-04 19:20 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |