0x93ba81516578bDB1c216d717e66C6C5E67caD27C-1775256330890
0x93ba81516578bdb1c216d717e66c6c5e67cad27c
- Realised P&L
- $1.24
- Volume
- $554.74
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $17.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.973 | $15.72 | +$2.30 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $1.54 | +$0.04 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.78at 0.065Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$3.41at 0.582Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$3.02at 0.167Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.310Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:16 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $1.50 |
| 09-29 01:24 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:20 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.05 |
| 09-28 21:19 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:30 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.3611247536 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 01:57 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.481 | $2.36 |
| 09-22 14:09 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.203999991 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:06 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.66 |
| 09-20 23:19 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2819999436 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 23:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.957 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 20:25 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2589999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:24 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2579999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:23 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.35 |
| 09-10 17:30 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 17:30 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.85 |