0x93b374A85E12a86c3FD04Dc73Eca29D8F68F0bAC-1775792421267
0x93b374a85e12a86c3fd04dc73eca29d8f68f0bac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $51.2k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $246.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.515 | $98.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.265 | $60.20 | −$39.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.300 | $50.05 | −$9.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.235 | $37.46 | −$12.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.115Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?
- +$685.64at 0.528FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
- +$494.37at 0.608PSV leading at halftime?
- +$485.00at 0.612Al Hilal Saudi Club leading at halftime?
- +$477.58at 0.611Al Hilal Saudi Club leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3136357751 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.5234216345 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3596750918 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.4401826062 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 07:50 | FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $750.00 |
| 09-13 16:29 | FC Bayern München leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.990214604 | $1.1k |