0x93b203621aff019abe368eaeb535ffb78059012b
- Realised P&L
- $-135.15
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $11.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.962 | $10.58 | +$1.45 |
| Ledger IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.040 | $1.20 | −$19.50 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) · Magic | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.14at 0.737Ethereum Up or Down on February 13?
- +$63.16at 0.325Kings vs. Grizzlies
- +$60.28at 0.560Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$31.05at 0.350Blues vs. Wild
- +$29.70at 0.670Spurs vs. Warriors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 07:01 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage | BUY | 0.51 | $7.13 |
| 03-03 06:01 | Avalanche vs. Kings | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |
| 03-03 05:31 | Hurricanes vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 23:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.33 |
| 03-01 23:40 | Thunder vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.11 | $13.33 |
| 03-01 23:15 | Blues vs. Wild | BUY | 0.35 | $5.60 |
| 02-27 06:01 | LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $7.09 |
| 02-26 23:50 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.27 | $9.18 |
| 02-26 23:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $9.13 |
| 02-26 23:31 | Lakers vs. Suns | BUY | 0.66 | $21.05 |
| 02-26 23:30 | Heat vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.46 | $14.67 |
| 02-26 23:30 | Hornets vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.86 | $27.43 |
| 02-26 23:30 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.74 | $23.61 |
| 02-18 06:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.079 | $1.19 |
| 02-18 05:51 | Ledger IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |