0x93A71BfdE8514EBFeceb6Ad33Da1B84D547Eb7C6-1781246533221
0x93a71bfde8514ebfeceb6ad33da1b84d547eb7c6
- Realised P&L
- $-146.45
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 586
- Open portfolio
- $46.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded586
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.60at 0.500Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$319.28at 0.500Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
- +$209.00at 0.500US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
- +$178.80at 0.500Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$178.40at 0.500Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-23 05:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 09-21 12:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-12 05:13 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 09-12 05:13 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? | SELL | 0.046 | $2.76 |
| 09-12 02:34 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 04:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 09-10 05:28 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.065 | $3.90 |
| 09-09 06:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.20 |
| 09-08 16:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0339543 | $3.40 |
| 09-08 02:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0892583333 | $5.36 |
| 09-07 22:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 06:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $55.80 |
| 08-28 13:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.94 |
| 08-28 13:40 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.83 |