2Dro
0x93a0f231e22b639c1ece252afc46a98ccd196623
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $468.3k
- Markets traded
- 532
- Open portfolio
- $139.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded532
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.720 | $110.42 | +$10.44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.555 | $28.40 | −$1.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 23? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.626 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$185.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$116.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$180.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.637Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
- +$1.6kat 0.457Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$1.4kat 0.537Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers
- +$1.3kat 0.527Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$1.3kat 0.607Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7299999685 | $3.71 |
| 11-02 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.06 |
| 11-02 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7199999765 | $3.67 |
| 11-02 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6101898201 | $3.11 |
| 11-02 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7101907098 | $3.62 |
| 11-02 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.06 |
| 11-02 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7164570471 | $3.64 |
| 11-02 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6199999408 | $3.14 |
| 11-02 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7099999627 | $3.62 |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6499999802 | $3.28 |
| 11-02 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.7101369342 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6999999803 | $3.56 |
| 11-01 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.629999962 | $3.32 |
| 11-01 23:27 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6299999413 | $3.22 |
| 11-01 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6713294378 | $3.43 |