samuraicoco
0x939ce6e119dc5cee38dab4aede915fb34dafad45
- Realised P&L
- $-6.7k
- Volume
- $337.0k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.612Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.3kat 0.817Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.250Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
- +$680.00at 0.506Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in June?
- +$384.31at 0.755Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 21:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999853 | $14.26 |
| 08-22 21:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 22:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.0274366558 | $150.00 |
| 07-01 20:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.07 |
| 07-01 20:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0748598131 | $80.10 |
| 07-01 20:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 20:39 | Will BNB dip to $300 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3156147299 | $110.00 |
| 06-29 00:24 | Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4966492591 | $150.00 |
| 06-28 16:58 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0579999783 | $2.44 |
| 06-28 16:57 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999904 | $1.45 |
| 06-28 16:56 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.99 |
| 06-28 16:55 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999904 | $1.24 |
| 06-28 16:55 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0109999904 | $1.14 |
| 06-28 16:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.098 | $5.87 |
| 06-28 16:53 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999537 | $1.01 |