PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x93934bd90b7e2231e3b242cc21d4364962d118cf

Realised P&L
$36.84
Volume
$71.2k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$576.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.4600.705$107.15+$37.17
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? · Yes0.4610.913$77.60+$38.40
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award? · Yes0.4040.895$68.02+$37.28
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes0.3630.365$39.79+$0.20
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? · Yes0.3950.180$27.36$32.74
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes0.2360.225$24.52$1.19
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.5800.545$23.43$1.50
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? · Yes0.3210.730$21.91+$12.28
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes0.1780.170$18.53$0.86
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? · Yes0.2600.535$16.05+$8.25
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.2600.320$13.76+$2.58
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1790.235$13.63+$3.22
Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion? · Yes0.1670.429$12.88+$7.88
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 30% or more? · Yes0.1200.145$8.41+$1.42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-05 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.1940.145$8.41$2.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 05:30Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?SELL0.0142356021$0.35
09-05 13:38Will Helena Koch be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.0022984184$0.08
09-05 13:38Will Ann-Cathrin Rothlind be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.0026351223$0.08
09-05 13:38Will Monica Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.004$0.11
09-05 13:38Will Lars Lundqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?SELL0.0047766559$0.43
09-05 11:35Will Nicolas Lehrke win the next Hannover Region presidential election?SELL0.002$0.01
09-05 11:35Will Sinja Münzberg win the next Hannover Region presidential election?SELL0.001$0.03
09-03 23:46Will Vanessa Mensah win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?SELL0.002$0.16
09-03 23:29Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.58$24.94
09-03 23:29Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.0609999791$2.62
09-03 23:29Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.0045250819$1.05
09-03 23:29Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.0220744751$1.05
09-03 23:29Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.26$11.18
09-03 13:37Will Ann-Cathrin Rothlind be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.007$0.22
09-03 13:37Will Helena Koch be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?BUY0.009$0.30