PolyBot

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Traders

ceuznvv

0x938ced916f6c71b0c73043ae331cc856a00623a6

Realised P&L
$60.42
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$15.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes0.9920.974$15.58−$0.30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$60.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:26US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.992$15.88
09-19 07:22Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.978$10.27
08-13 07:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.985999932$12.18
08-04 09:03Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.59$54.27
08-04 08:34Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$143.40
08-04 04:35Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.59$69.96
07-22 08:25Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?BUY0.9509980583$34.37
07-16 07:42Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.964683658$60.99
07-09 10:32Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.9549999998$54.16
07-03 06:36Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?BUY0.9859999999$69.25
06-25 10:18Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?BUY0.9769999991$22.31
06-21 14:19Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?BUY0.9706416579$67.72
06-10 09:00US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?BUY0.8899999996$60.89
06-05 12:14Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05?BUY0.7799999993$20.92
05-28 09:59Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9349999984$35.16