ceuznvv
0x938ced916f6c71b0c73043ae331cc856a00623a6
- Realised P&L
- $60.42
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $15.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.974 | $15.58 | −$0.30 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.86at 0.520Stars vs. Sabres
- +$20.98at 0.705Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$16.71at 0.570Wild vs. Panthers
- +$6.18at 0.620Thunder vs. Knicks
- +$5.83at 0.820Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:26 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $15.88 |
| 09-19 07:22 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.978 | $10.27 |
| 08-13 07:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.985999932 | $12.18 |
| 08-04 09:03 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.59 | $54.27 |
| 08-04 08:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $143.40 |
| 08-04 04:35 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.59 | $69.96 |
| 07-22 08:25 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9509980583 | $34.37 |
| 07-16 07:42 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY | 0.964683658 | $60.99 |
| 07-09 10:32 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.9549999998 | $54.16 |
| 07-03 06:36 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $69.25 |
| 06-25 10:18 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9769999991 | $22.31 |
| 06-21 14:19 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | BUY | 0.9706416579 | $67.72 |
| 06-10 09:00 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $60.89 |
| 06-05 12:14 | Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? | BUY | 0.7799999993 | $20.92 |
| 05-28 09:59 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999984 | $35.16 |