43trgeds
0x93877da830ffac06dd107c0441aad6d5dfc142ab
- Realised P&L
- $19.47
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $16.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · No | 0.931 | 0.885 | $11.49 | −$0.60 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $5.42 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on April 24? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.50 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.23at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on April 24?
- +$26.18at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 8?
- +$22.00at 0.500Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6?
- +$20.80at 0.991Will CR win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$6.28at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? | BUY | 0.931 | $12.08 |
| 10-09 02:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.43 |
| 10-07 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.79 |
| 09-26 02:20 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 31.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $5.92 |
| 09-05 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.95 |
| 09-05 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9971285418 | $2.3k |
| 07-13 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 14? | BUY | 0.974 | $4.92 |
| 07-02 14:05 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $11.98 |
| 06-23 13:46 | Spread: Canada (-2.5) | BUY | 0.968 | $10.74 |
| 06-15 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.931 | $20.47 |
| 06-09 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.988 | $17.78 |
| 06-01 14:20 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.98 |
| 06-01 13:52 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of June 1 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $13.18 |
| 05-25 00:39 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.80 |
| 05-18 13:01 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $90? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.69 |