PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

43trgeds

0x93877da830ffac06dd107c0441aad6d5dfc142ab

Realised P&L
$19.47
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$16.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · No0.9310.885$11.49−$0.60
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · No0.9980.997$5.42−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$26.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on April 24? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$27.50
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10?BUY0.931$12.08
10-09 02:58Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10?BUY0.998$5.43
10-07 08:05Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 8?BUY0.99$7.79
09-26 02:20Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 31.5BUY0.97$5.92
09-05 02:43Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?SELL0.998$23.95
09-05 02:42Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 6?BUY0.9971285418$2.3k
07-13 02:35Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 14?BUY0.974$4.92
07-02 14:05S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 2?BUY0.91$11.98
06-23 13:46Spread: Canada (-2.5)BUY0.968$10.74
06-15 12:16Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 16?BUY0.931$20.47
06-09 12:28Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 10?BUY0.988$17.78
06-01 14:20S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on June 1?BUY0.98$12.98
06-01 13:52Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of June 1 2026?BUY0.962$13.18
05-25 00:39Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?BUY0.9$10.80
05-18 13:01Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $90?BUY0.85$9.69