0x93845E38eBFF920d3dD29e04E2c12C6ad1F756Fe-1769758771027
0x93845e38ebff920d3dd29e04e2c12c6ad1f756fe
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $394.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.029 | $394.74 | −$4.4k |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$367.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down | 0.482 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$831.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$909.19at 0.569Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 19?
- +$444.75at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$157.26at 0.094Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$130.81at 0.590Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on March 17?
- +$102.97at 0.757Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 06-26 11:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 06-26 11:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 06-26 11:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 06-26 11:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 06-26 10:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.56 |
| 06-26 10:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 06-26 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 06-26 10:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $152.10 |
| 06-26 10:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $22.80 |
| 06-26 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $285.00 |
| 06-26 10:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $380.00 |
| 06-26 10:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.5k |
| 06-26 10:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $51.05 |
| 06-26 10:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $157.32 |