austingriffith
0x9380a96e455eba07e2d5542a90dd34d8d6b58e3a
- Realised P&L
- $-11.29
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $671.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.805 | $671.31 | −$130.35 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.05at 0.701Will The Late Show with Stephen Colbert win Best Talk Show at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?
- +$18.82at 0.840Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 24?
- +$7.13at 0.930US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$-28.57at 0.004Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 23:41 | Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027? | BUY | 0.9613077797 | $801.66 |
| 01-07 03:14 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.3099999962 | $50.72 |
| 01-03 14:08 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $106.05 |
| 12-24 03:32 | Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files? | BUY | 0.004 | $28.57 |
| 12-24 03:32 | Will The Late Show with Stephen Colbert win Best Talk Show at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards? | BUY | 0.700990979 | $98.59 |
| 12-24 02:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 24? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $98.82 |
| 12-24 02:31 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $98.93 |