0x937b3729033279493d8c7f17630d93fa55d25a7a
0x937b3729033279493d8c7f17630d93fa55d25a7a
- Realised P&L
- $4.26
- Volume
- $454.03
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $9.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.460 | 0.830 | $1.80 | +$0.80 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? · No | 0.280 | 0.375 | $1.34 | +$0.34 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.790 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? · No | 0.300 | 0.390 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.796 | 1.000 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? · No | 0.689 | 0.842 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · No | 0.470 | 0.390 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.35at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:17 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 03:17 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7959999331 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:02 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:01 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 06:30 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:54 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6889999097 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 12:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 04:21 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7419999421 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.702 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:59 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:57 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 10:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 02:55 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |