VantablackCrown
0x937a58b178bef0ee6ab1c3244ed508fd6498721e
- Realised P&L
- $-227.06
- Volume
- $92.1k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $38.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? · No | 0.390 | 0.285 | $28.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.175 | $5.25 | −$9.45 |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? · No | 0.270 | 0.032 | $3.15 | −$23.85 |
| Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election? · No | 0.380 | 0.041 | $1.64 | −$13.56 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.09 |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.567 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$280.00 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.20 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$892.00at 0.189Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$31.60at 0.890Suns vs. Thunder
- +$25.20at 0.370Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
- +$18.40at 0.080Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
- +$15.68at 0.477Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:22 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 08-27 05:03 | Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 08-22 13:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-10 12:46 | No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $9.20 |
| 08-09 16:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-04 03:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 07-18 05:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 07-03 15:32 | Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 06-27 15:52 | Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 06-18 15:04 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 06-11 15:32 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 04-22 15:43 | Cavaliers vs. Raptors | SELL | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 04-22 09:54 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.56 | $272.61 |
| 12-27 02:10 | Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |