0x937A3e302056D76Ba99C244D15466fBA3E50643d-1778583062201
0x937a3e302056d76ba99c244d15466fba3e50643d
- Realised P&L
- $-141.37
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $20.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.024 | $20.89 | −$59.11 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.68 |
| Will Rodri join Barcelona? · No | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.69at 0.656Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$-1.05at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$-1.07at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
- +$-27.62at 0.092Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 15:37 | Will Rodri join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.1498164523 | $106.11 |
| 05-18 08:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 08:18 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999991 | $80.00 |
| 05-18 08:18 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $80.68 |
| 05-17 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 14:20 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0225770763 | $3.68 |
| 05-12 10:54 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999992 | $100.00 |