gooodgowq
0x9370ba4604f0ca7059fc04b5fc6208d9a38b107a
- Realised P&L
- $-203.88
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.021 | $1.26 | −$12.54 |
| Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 115m? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be between 45m and 48m? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.420Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?
- +$1.5kat 0.400Wild vs. Capitals
- +$716.17at 0.720Timberwolves vs. Thunder
- +$99.00at 0.170U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$13.01at 0.370Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-06 12:32 | Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.35 | $41.55 |
| 04-06 12:31 | Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series? | SELL | 0.85 | $10.25 |
| 02-09 16:19 | Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | SELL | 0.0823 | $24.69 |
| 02-09 16:18 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 02-09 16:18 | Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February? | SELL | 0.459054 | $45.91 |
| 02-09 16:18 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of February? | SELL | 0.374544 | $112.36 |
| 02-09 16:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.948 | $142.20 |
| 01-04 18:00 | Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.8565984817 | $188.44 |
| 01-04 18:00 | Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.83 | $33.20 |
| 01-04 17:59 | Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 12-28 13:56 | Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $54.60 |
| 12-28 13:56 | Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31? | SELL | 0.6461229686 | $86.28 |
| 12-28 13:56 | Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.23 |
| 12-28 13:56 | Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds? | SELL | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 01-06 09:25 | Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.3k |