Elquimico
0x9368a83ae75c274d45e087a4bd9cc22b676fe663
- Realised P&L
- $-304.32
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $130.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.180 | $130.88 | −$85.49 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$563.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.59at 0.507Nothing Ever Happens: February
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 16:14 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.2975841018 | $216.37 |
| 02-28 19:30 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.25 | $563.85 |
| 02-28 19:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.3900425588 | $563.63 |
| 02-28 19:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.3799153041 | $549.00 |
| 02-28 19:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.4118773156 | $549.17 |
| 02-28 18:56 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.3959999996 | $528.00 |
| 02-28 18:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.4769962362 | $527.20 |
| 02-28 18:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4369999998 | $483.00 |
| 02-28 17:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.5300602912 | $483.54 |
| 02-28 16:40 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.49 | $447.00 |
| 02-28 16:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.5948519265 | $445.88 |
| 02-28 15:56 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.5736691725 | $430.00 |
| 02-22 18:32 | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BUY | 0.5072335097 | $218.83 |