0x935dba15165ee80ec8d5d7dcb80dc1f37b5a2c22
0x935dba15165ee80ec8d5d7dcb80dc1f37b5a2c22
- Realised P&L
- $-1.60
- Volume
- $201.52
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $4.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.920 | $2.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.755 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.260 | 0.038 | $0.29 | −$1.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.27at 0.247Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.379Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.422Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
- +$2.78at 0.360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:37 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 16:48 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 07:59 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499998382 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 13:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 16:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:26 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 21:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 12:27 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 02:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 17:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:09 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 00:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |