pref
0x935c1f7aeccdd7923f8d67e7481df38a3c2cb84d
- Realised P&L
- $-979.83
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $16.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.065 | $14.16 | −$53.96 |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.030 | $2.74 | −$19.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.22at 0.150Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
- +$68.78at 0.014Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$55.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$50.40at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$49.50at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-03 09:41 | Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 01-02 07:55 | Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 12-30 19:21 | Nothing Ever Happens: December | SELL | 0.960435911 | $91.04 |
| 12-30 18:35 | Nothing Ever Happens: December | BUY | 0.9599999958 | $91.00 |
| 12-28 19:20 | Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.31 |
| 12-28 10:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.44 |
| 12-28 09:55 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.78 |
| 12-27 06:55 | Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999994 | $60.00 |
| 12-27 06:47 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | SELL | 0.0318333333 | $19.10 |
| 12-26 15:58 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.0569999948 | $10.00 |
| 12-26 11:34 | Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $25.00 |
| 12-26 11:33 | Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $15.00 |
| 12-26 10:18 | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | SELL | 0.8133101256 | $52.45 |
| 12-26 09:09 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | SELL | 0.0647614406 | $8.51 |
| 12-26 08:30 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.076143305 | $10.00 |