Megama
0x935b32af3205b4774238a43c62fac2db48339a1e
- Realised P&L
- $-58.63
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $99.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.45at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$21.19at 0.195Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$12.56at 0.447Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$11.91at 0.205Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$10.57at 0.225Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:42 | Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3359751846 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 12:41 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.61 | $15.75 |
| 07-28 06:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3219999717 | $5.99 |
| 07-20 10:56 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3899999962 | $40.00 |
| 07-15 19:48 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5324999527 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 20:27 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0874999634 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:21 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1274999898 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:06 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 12:36 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4124999799 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 12:36 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3649999805 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:51 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3225 | $6.45 |
| 07-11 21:34 | Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 20:27 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 07-11 20:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2224999665 | $5.00 |