lstmrnn
0x9359946b66519a784c9517486defb9f919f54907
- Realised P&L
- $-398.09
- Volume
- $94.0k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $73.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.073 | $73.00 | −$125.73 |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$465.48 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.547Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.592Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$772.79at 0.535Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$699.93at 0.300Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$563.83at 0.470Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 17:41 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4 | $130.00 |
| 06-14 16:36 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.16 | $96.00 |
| 02-23 22:23 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 02-22 23:39 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $23.00 |
| 02-20 00:05 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1582617317 | $4.79 |
| 02-18 04:23 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 02-18 02:40 | Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $0.03 |
| 11-24 22:36 | Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | SELL | 0.014 | $13.40 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.4905500248 | $89.19 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $58.99 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | SELL | 0.967 | $193.40 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November? | SELL | 0.9955028 | $99.55 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.83930003 | $83.92 |
| 11-24 22:35 | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |