PolyBot

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Traders

0x93469C7E5C2A75Cc726a2FE6Fa9e479dBf40E146-1766832223752

0x93469c7e5c2a75cc726a2fe6fa9e479dbf40e146

Realised P&L
$-95.60
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$25.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5800.955$19.10+$7.50
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.026$6.20−$12.49
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$7.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? · No0.0360.000$0.00−$3.58
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.4600.000$0.00−$18.40
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.05
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.3470.000$0.00−$24.30
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$14.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.40
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$9.60
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026? · No0.2210.000$0.00−$10.39
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? · No0.0130.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-08 06:06Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.02850485$5.70
03-08 06:05Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.02652265$5.30
03-08 06:05Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.025$0.55
03-03 16:12Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.206$2.06
03-03 16:12Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.24$9.60
03-03 16:07Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
03-03 16:07Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?BUY0.08$1.76
03-03 16:07Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
03-03 16:07Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY0.0357501$3.58
03-03 16:07Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?BUY0.013$1.30
02-26 01:11Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$0.59
02-08 09:02Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?SELL0.992$19.84
02-07 14:42Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?BUY0.52$15.60
02-07 02:09Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?SELL0.982$19.64
02-06 04:39Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?BUY0.53$10.60