0x93469C7E5C2A75Cc726a2FE6Fa9e479dBf40E146-1766832223752
0x93469c7e5c2a75cc726a2fe6fa9e479dbf40e146
- Realised P&L
- $-95.60
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $25.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.50at 0.570US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$15.20at 0.870US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$10.22at 0.647Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$9.24at 0.530Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
- +$9.04at 0.530Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-08 06:06 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.02850485 | $5.70 |
| 03-08 06:05 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.02652265 | $5.30 |
| 03-08 06:05 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.55 |
| 03-03 16:12 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.206 | $2.06 |
| 03-03 16:12 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 03-03 16:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 03-03 16:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.76 |
| 03-03 16:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 03-03 16:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0357501 | $3.58 |
| 03-03 16:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 02-26 01:11 | Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.59 |
| 02-08 09:02 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 02-07 14:42 | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 02-07 02:09 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $19.64 |
| 02-06 04:39 | Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |