hazardfree
0x933f8e2ff775b9b195ac36c3b96b0b557aaad300
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $693.6k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $267.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.4kat 0.426Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$3.8kat 0.893Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$3.1kat 0.384Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.8kat 0.074U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$1.3kat 0.368Will Trump sue the BBC?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 23:13 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $116.00 |
| 06-20 23:12 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $68.00 |
| 06-20 23:04 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $143.50 |
| 06-20 23:02 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3498973791 | $340.96 |
| 06-20 23:01 | Starmer out by June 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $71.40 |
| 06-20 22:57 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.75 |
| 06-20 22:47 | Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 06-20 22:09 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $934.53 |
| 06-20 22:08 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.9k |
| 03-01 00:36 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $56.49 |
| 03-01 00:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $50.00 |
| 03-01 00:25 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $185.45 |
| 03-01 00:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.024 | $48.00 |
| 02-02 23:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 02-02 23:04 | Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.6k |