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Traders

hazardfree

0x933f8e2ff775b9b195ac36c3b96b0b557aaad300

Realised P&L
$-7.4k
Volume
$693.6k
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$267.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.8000.945$94.50+$14.50
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$51.00−$27.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1700.024$47.15−$293.92
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0880.100$29.85+$3.45
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2600.025$24.50−$235.50
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2100.025$20.62−$149.21
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$149.99
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30? · No0.6630.000$0.00−$766.08
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$1000.00
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$404.99
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$53.94
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$199.98
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$235.08
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$153.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 23:13Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.35$116.00
06-20 23:12Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.34$68.00
06-20 23:04Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.35$143.50
06-20 23:02Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.3498973791$340.96
06-20 23:01Starmer out by June 22, 2026?BUY0.34$71.40
06-20 22:57Starmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY0.15$45.75
06-20 22:47Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.26$52.00
06-20 22:09Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.985$934.53
06-20 22:08Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9$1.9k
03-01 00:36Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.024$56.49
03-01 00:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.025$50.00
03-01 00:25Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.025$185.45
03-01 00:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.024$48.00
02-02 23:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$110.00
02-02 23:04Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?BUY0.16$1.6k
Trader hazardfree · PolyBot Pro