PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PrimePenguin

0x933ca00f565ba7130180e58fce4f965cc33ba8c6

Realised P&L
$5.6k
Volume
$1.30M
Markets traded
4,009
Open portfolio
$17.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,009
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Sacramento Kings make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.9620.969$2.1k+$14.13
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.7090.715$942.36+$7.59
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.4990.520$769.48+$30.29
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.8590.722$630.57−$120.00
Will Mark Speakman be the next Premier of New South Wales? · No0.9430.946$505.43+$1.67
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.3400.440$432.97+$98.64
Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.7320.930$316.19+$67.32
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? · No0.1500.355$310.01+$179.07
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.9130.956$294.34+$13.02
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.9630.971$294.06+$2.16
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2190.420$288.69+$138.01
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.5220.825$264.36+$97.05
Will Dallas Mavericks advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.9400.926$260.21−$4.01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9190.977$247.05+$14.51
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · No0.4380.978$233.16+$128.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:25Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.983$19.66
11-01 11:22Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 2 above $20?BUY0.999$19.98
11-01 11:22Jazz vs. SpursBUY0.87$17.40
11-01 11:21Kings vs. MavericksBUY0.83$16.60
11-01 11:21Bulls vs. 76ersBUY0.15$15.00
11-01 11:16Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.978$39.12
11-01 11:15No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.0679116345$26.99
11-01 09:29Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $295 Week of November 2 2026?BUY0.34$13.60
11-01 09:05Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in November?BUY0.31$10.23
11-01 08:39Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in November?BUY0.2739393939$9.04
11-01 08:37Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in November?BUY0.4875757576$16.09
11-01 07:27Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.983$29.49
11-01 06:41Miami Heat 2026-27 Regular Season Wins: O/U 46.5BUY0.4858813839$5.90
11-01 06:20Raptors vs. LakersBUY0.63$12.60
11-01 05:57Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in November?BUY0.44$14.52