PrimePenguin
0x933ca00f565ba7130180e58fce4f965cc33ba8c6
- Realised P&L
- $5.6k
- Volume
- $1.30M
- Markets traded
- 4,009
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,009
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.244Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
- +$2.8kat 0.681Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$2.2kat 0.627Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$1.2kat 0.064Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.128Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:25 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.983 | $19.66 |
| 11-01 11:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 2 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-01 11:22 | Jazz vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 11-01 11:21 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 11-01 11:21 | Bulls vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.978 | $39.12 |
| 11-01 11:15 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0679116345 | $26.99 |
| 11-01 09:29 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $295 Week of November 2 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 11-01 09:05 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in November? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.23 |
| 11-01 08:39 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in November? | BUY | 0.2739393939 | $9.04 |
| 11-01 08:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in November? | BUY | 0.4875757576 | $16.09 |
| 11-01 07:27 | Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.983 | $29.49 |
| 11-01 06:41 | Miami Heat 2026-27 Regular Season Wins: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4858813839 | $5.90 |
| 11-01 06:20 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 11-01 05:57 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in November? | BUY | 0.44 | $14.52 |