0x9336963ad82E6d0B4363cb2fA78e144d4565e8F6-1775612111249
0x9336963ad82e6d0b4363cb2fa78e144d4565e8f6
- Realised P&L
- $-17.35
- Volume
- $39.7k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $113.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.162 | $99.06 | −$73.64 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.034 | $13.99 | −$36.01 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.72 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.80at 0.246JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$7.51at 0.234Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$-4.29at 0.070Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
- +$-8.74at 0.020Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
- +$-9.41at 0.160Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 14:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.00 |
| 04-20 20:04 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.2819019755 | $72.70 |
| 04-20 19:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.27 | $57.51 |
| 04-20 19:53 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0320590717 | $15.20 |
| 04-16 00:51 | Will Trump visit China by May 8? | BUY | 0.0316678201 | $5.72 |
| 04-16 00:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $5.71 |
| 04-14 19:01 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.189365403 | $11.25 |
| 04-14 19:01 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0111807944 | $11.26 |
| 04-14 18:31 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1883871786 | $78.19 |
| 04-14 01:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2344514715 | $50.00 |
| 04-14 01:33 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.0814515823 | $25.74 |
| 04-13 20:32 | Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0198599099 | $20.00 |
| 04-13 20:17 | Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 20:15 | Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 20:13 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1579943248 | $50.00 |